Survivor: Palau episode 11 commentary
Steph. Steph. Steph. It pains me to see you get sent to the jury box, even though I sort of accepted that it would be since the first 10 minutes of the show. There comes a point when I can quite easily predict who's going home each episode because of the way it was edited. The chosen one would get slightly more airtime than usual compared to the others, and we are shown more personal moments and how the game has affected him or her. This time it was Steph. Sigh. Well at least there are only 3 episodes left in this season and I'll get to see her for at least a few seconds every episode. Too bad the women's alliance didn't work out.
I don't know what Caryn is thinking. She really deserves to go next just based on the horrible strategic sense she has shown. In this case, none actually. She can join Coby as this season's worst strategic players, even Coby did show some promise in the early stages until he self-destructed. I can't believe she bought into Tom's story and promise of sixth place in a six-person alliance when they're down to seven. Maybe she thought she could weasel her way into final two with Tom, but ultimately she just reverted to being a unbelievably gullible pawn in Tom's game.
If Tom wants to win this, he needs to stop announcing the fact that he is strong. His "Don't vote me off because I am strong" speech came across as so desperate and ineffectual to the point that it set off several of his tribe members thinking about voting him out, if they haven't already did. (That speech seemed ironic when he refused to acquiesce to Steph's plea at last tribal council to not do exactly the same thing.) All he has to do now is to keep his mouth shut, be strong and win all remaining immunities and all the plans the others have of voting him out will go right out the window. Just by default, he'll be facing the jury.
I certainly didn't expect Katie to have the smarts or the mettle to be playing this game with that much scheming. It's like finding out that talkative popular girl in school who always hung around with the biggest jocks and bullies can actually win a boxing challenge without help from or care for her usual cronies. Oh well, I'm glad that another girl other than Steph is playing the game. Janu and Caryn and maybe Jenn all deserve to be pawned off at this point.
You know, I heard him mention countless times, but I've yet to understand what Gregg's plan is. Is it to get down to five with Jenn, Tom, Ian and Katie? If so he can't possibly be thinking that the alliance of Tom, Ian and Katie will bring him over Jenn into the final four. If he had wanted to engineer a coup against Tom, he couldn't do it at five or even at six with Caryn because that'll just force a tie, or even better Caryn will decide to vote him off instead to prevent a tie-breaker and at least buy herself a final four situation. He needed to do it at seven with Steph. And yet he claims Steph is disrupting the plan? I don't know, I guess I 'll have to continue watching, but I still think that the "Big Plan" will not amount to much for him.
Will Jenn really switch against Gregg if the women alliance had worked? I don't know. She doesn't seem capable of doing that, even if she did (or tried to) convince Steph she would. But now it does her no good of switching to any alternative plan. If she just follows the plan, final four is almost guaranteed for her, and from there who knows?
Ian is replacing Tom as the season's best player. Others seem to have forgotten Ian is almost as much of a physical threat as Tom is, even though he has proven himself so, winning the very first immunity on the first day, the most recent immunity, and being a key player in many of Koror's tribal challenges. Furthermore, he is popular and well-liked by most of the tribe members, as evidenced by the many scenes of tribal exchanges. He has a strong bond with Katie, who might just give him the pivotal vote bringing him into and winning the final tribal council. And he would not be viewed as a threat as long as Tom is around, so it would actually be in his best interests to keep Tom around for as long as possible until the last moment when Tom would have no way to turn against him. In fact I'm not sure that Ian doesn't have at least a 50-50 chance against Tom facing the jury, especially a jury with Coby "I hate Tom's arrogant and dictatorial ass" in it.
You know, I'm surprised that I actually sort of care who wins, despite the fact that Steph is gone? Gosh, I would never have thought.
Next week: Caryn pinpoints Katie as the traitor. Will she successfully save herself? Will Tom finally be betrayed? At least we'll get to see Steph again!
I don't know what Caryn is thinking. She really deserves to go next just based on the horrible strategic sense she has shown. In this case, none actually. She can join Coby as this season's worst strategic players, even Coby did show some promise in the early stages until he self-destructed. I can't believe she bought into Tom's story and promise of sixth place in a six-person alliance when they're down to seven. Maybe she thought she could weasel her way into final two with Tom, but ultimately she just reverted to being a unbelievably gullible pawn in Tom's game.
If Tom wants to win this, he needs to stop announcing the fact that he is strong. His "Don't vote me off because I am strong" speech came across as so desperate and ineffectual to the point that it set off several of his tribe members thinking about voting him out, if they haven't already did. (That speech seemed ironic when he refused to acquiesce to Steph's plea at last tribal council to not do exactly the same thing.) All he has to do now is to keep his mouth shut, be strong and win all remaining immunities and all the plans the others have of voting him out will go right out the window. Just by default, he'll be facing the jury.
I certainly didn't expect Katie to have the smarts or the mettle to be playing this game with that much scheming. It's like finding out that talkative popular girl in school who always hung around with the biggest jocks and bullies can actually win a boxing challenge without help from or care for her usual cronies. Oh well, I'm glad that another girl other than Steph is playing the game. Janu and Caryn and maybe Jenn all deserve to be pawned off at this point.
You know, I heard him mention countless times, but I've yet to understand what Gregg's plan is. Is it to get down to five with Jenn, Tom, Ian and Katie? If so he can't possibly be thinking that the alliance of Tom, Ian and Katie will bring him over Jenn into the final four. If he had wanted to engineer a coup against Tom, he couldn't do it at five or even at six with Caryn because that'll just force a tie, or even better Caryn will decide to vote him off instead to prevent a tie-breaker and at least buy herself a final four situation. He needed to do it at seven with Steph. And yet he claims Steph is disrupting the plan? I don't know, I guess I 'll have to continue watching, but I still think that the "Big Plan" will not amount to much for him.
Will Jenn really switch against Gregg if the women alliance had worked? I don't know. She doesn't seem capable of doing that, even if she did (or tried to) convince Steph she would. But now it does her no good of switching to any alternative plan. If she just follows the plan, final four is almost guaranteed for her, and from there who knows?
Ian is replacing Tom as the season's best player. Others seem to have forgotten Ian is almost as much of a physical threat as Tom is, even though he has proven himself so, winning the very first immunity on the first day, the most recent immunity, and being a key player in many of Koror's tribal challenges. Furthermore, he is popular and well-liked by most of the tribe members, as evidenced by the many scenes of tribal exchanges. He has a strong bond with Katie, who might just give him the pivotal vote bringing him into and winning the final tribal council. And he would not be viewed as a threat as long as Tom is around, so it would actually be in his best interests to keep Tom around for as long as possible until the last moment when Tom would have no way to turn against him. In fact I'm not sure that Ian doesn't have at least a 50-50 chance against Tom facing the jury, especially a jury with Coby "I hate Tom's arrogant and dictatorial ass" in it.
You know, I'm surprised that I actually sort of care who wins, despite the fact that Steph is gone? Gosh, I would never have thought.
Next week: Caryn pinpoints Katie as the traitor. Will she successfully save herself? Will Tom finally be betrayed? At least we'll get to see Steph again!
posted by Jeff @ 4:19 PM
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